capstone

Economic update

July was a relatively uneventful month in financial markets and volatility remained low. Generally speaking, risk assets continued to perform well despite a sharp increase in the oil price. In fact July was the best month for oil since January 2022. Inflation seems to be coming off the boil in most key regions, reducing the … Read more

Where is the recession

Key points A progress report on inflation: Inflation appears to have peaked, led by improvements in core goods prices and rate sensitive sectors like housing. The policy focus has shifted to labour market normalisation where early signs of progress are emerging. Is a soft landing in sight? The Fed remains committed to doing “whatever it … Read more

Economic update May 2023 Investment markets were relatively calm in April, following a period of heightened volatility in March when banking failures in the US and Europe had shaken confidence. Most major share markets closed the month around 2% higher, extending gains in the calendar year to date. Overall there was increasing optimism that major … Read more

Credit risk in focus amid bank tumult

Key views Tightening financial conditions and a return of credit risk have reinforced our risk-off stance. The Credit Suisse deal highlights policymaker actions are negative for bank shareholders and some bondholders. We stay underweight most equities, cut credit to neutral, and prefer short term government bonds. The ongoing bank tumult on both sides of the … Read more

The opportunities in energy transition

After the wild ride experienced by investors in 2022, Perpetual’s Deputy Head of Equities, Anthony Aboud is seeing opportunities in high quality companies which have traditionally been classified as growth stocks. He also notes the decarbonisation trend as a key investment thesis for 2023 and beyond. Looking at the Australian market, which was down just … Read more